Tracked forecast · watch-16-5
Local data center pause end dates, from about Jan. 19: a new rule, or a quiet lapse?
Open
- Chokepoint
- Grid Connections & Local Approval — Interconnection queues, siting fights, and the regulatory dockets (FERC, state PUCs, SCCs) that decide them. (Mostly price, occasionally an outright no)
- Kill condition
- Counts toward the forecast if four or more come due.
- Horizon
- From about Jan. 19, 2027, as each pause comes due
- Source
- Issue 16 — Price or Permission · full issue
Why it is on the watchlist
Salem’s and Pima County’s 120-day pauses end first. Of three earlier pauses traced through press coverage, each ended in a permanent ordinance or an extension, though pauses that lapse get less coverage than council votes.
How Aroko tracks forecasts
Every item is reproduced from a published issue with its original kill condition intact. Status changes only on dated, citable evidence that meets that condition, reviewed weekly. Nothing is resolved in hindsight to improve the record.
Get the next forecast when it is published
Free. Biweekly. No sponsored research. Every forecast tracked in public with its kill condition attached.
GET THE LETTER