Aroko

Tracked forecast · watch-09-2

The New York large-load moratorium.

Open

Chokepoint
Grid Connections & Local Approval — Interconnection queues, siting fights, and the regulatory dockets (FERC, state PUCs, SCCs) that decide them. (Mostly price, occasionally an outright no)
Kill condition
Governor Hochul signs, vetoes, or punts to localities; a signature is the Fortress Era drift made real.
Horizon
One-time, at the signing deadline
Source
Issue 9 — The Grid Bill Comes Due · full issue

Why it is on the watchlist

New York already sits at effective exclusion on price. A signature moves it from expensive to closed, and makes the top of the spread a legal fact rather than a tariff outcome.

How Aroko tracks forecasts

Every item is reproduced from a published issue with its original kill condition intact. Status changes only on dated, citable evidence that meets that condition, reviewed weekly. Nothing is resolved in hindsight to improve the record.

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