Aroko

Tracked forecast · watch-08-2

Heavy-frame turbine slots at GE Vernova, Siemens Energy, and Mitsubishi.

Open

Chokepoint
Power Equipment — Turbines, transformers, and the switchgear that connects generation to the grid. (Rations by lead time)
Kill condition
Slots still sold past 2030 confirm the system-level wall; slots opening earlier are the first compression signal.
Horizon
Quarterly earnings
Source
Issue 8 — The Equipment Wall · full issue

Why it is on the watchlist

If heavy-frame turbine slots keep selling past 2030, the system-level wall holds. Slots opening earlier is the first compression signal.

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