Tracked forecast · watch-05-4
November 2026 Imperial County ballot initiative on a data center ban.
Open
- Chokepoint
- Grid Connections & Local Approval — Interconnection queues, siting fights, and the regulatory dockets (FERC, state PUCs, SCCs) that decide them. (Mostly price, occasionally an outright no)
- Kill condition
- A ban victory hardens the restrictive thesis and forecloses the Imperial geothermal corridor; defeat opens 2–4 GW of marginal upside in California.
- Horizon
- One-time vote, November 2026
- Source
- Issue 5 — The Subnational Sovereigns · full issue
Why it is on the watchlist
A county-level ballot test of the restrictive thesis, sitting directly on top of the Imperial Valley geothermal corridor and its 2–4 GW of marginal upside.
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Every item is reproduced from a published issue with its original kill condition intact. Status changes only on dated, citable evidence that meets that condition, reviewed weekly. Nothing is resolved in hindsight to improve the record.
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