Aroko

Tracked forecast · watch-05-1

Virginia HB 1515 disposition.

Open

Chokepoint
Grid Connections & Local Approval — Interconnection queues, siting fights, and the regulatory dockets (FERC, state PUCs, SCCs) that decide them. (Mostly price, occasionally an outright no)
Kill condition
Passage collapses the grandfathered-pipeline narrative and accelerates the Northern Virginia ceiling; failure preserves Dominion's projected 5 GW build-out through 2028.
Horizon
Quarterly through the 2026 legislative session
Source
Issue 5 — The Subnational Sovereigns · full issue

Why it is on the watchlist

Virginia’s proposed data-center moratorium: passage would collapse the grandfathered pipeline narrative; failure preserves Dominion’s projected ~5 GW build-out through 2028.

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Every item is reproduced from a published issue with its original kill condition intact. Status changes only on dated, citable evidence that meets that condition, reviewed weekly. Nothing is resolved in hindsight to improve the record.

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